Critical impacts, dependencies, risks, and opportunities
We assess exposure to resource scarcity, geopolitical instability, and nature-related risks while identifying opportunities for substitution, innovation, and circularity.
Using TNFD’s LEAP approach, we translate findings into actionable insights that strengthen decisions across procurement, risk management, and business units.

From assessment to action: building governance, data, and new business models.
Our Resource Strategy Roadmap turns insights into a clear plan that strengthens governance.
We help companies build solid data and governance systems, integrate resource intelligence into strategy, and advance circular and substitution-based business models.

Stress-testing resilience under geopolitical and environmental change.
We help organisations test the resilience of their operations against multiple futures from resource scarcity to ecosystem decline and regulatory tightening. Our transition plans link supply security and natural capital to financial performance, identifying how shifts could impact production and costs, and defining actions to adapt and grow.

Securing investment resilience in a resource-constrained world.
As nature and resource risks increasingly drive financial exposure, Circle helps investors and companies assess their readiness for a future shaped by scarcity, competition and systemic risk.
Our due diligence evaluates material dependencies, geopolitical pressures, supply chain governance and nature-related value creation, linking natural capital performance directly to asset resilience and long-term growth.

Industry projects and strategic partnerships that connect business, policy and finance. We believe no single organisation can solve systemic challenges alone.

Together we build shared intelligence, align action and accelerate change across value chains. Collaboration is how we build resilience and redefine competitiveness.

Strategic clarity starts with understanding what is at stake.
Resources, nature and geopolitics are now deeply intertwined. Circle helps leaders connect these forces translating risk into strategy and strategy into purpose.

Through projects, partnerships, articles, and the podcast Sound of Nature, we explore how resource performance and supply resilience shape economic security and growth.